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Putin Proposes Changes to Russia's Nuclear Deterrence Doctrine

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Russian President Vladimir Putin has made several statements regarding Russia's nuclear deterrent, proposing changes to the country's doctrine. According to Putin, the new criteria for launching a nuclear response would include aggression against Russia by any non-nuclear state, which could potentially apply to Ukraine. Putin has also stated that any nation's conventional attack on Russia would be perceived as a joint attack, and that the conditions for the launch of Russia's nuclear weapons would be "reliable information". This rhetoric has been met with criticism from Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who has warned the UN about Russia's intentions and lobbied for increased military aid to Ukraine. Zelenskyy has also accused Russia of planning to attack Ukrainian nuclear power plants.

    1. We continue to give billions of dollars to a man who refuses to make a deal.
    1. If, God forbid, Russia causes a nuclear disaster at one of our nuclear power plants, the radiation will not respect state borders.
    2. If someone in the world seeks alternatives … it likely means they themselves want to do a part of what Putin is doing … the question arises: what is the true interest?
    3. But the peace formula … there is no veto power in it. That's why it's the best opportunity for peace.
    4. Maybe someone wants a Nobel Prize for their political biography for [a] frozen truce instead of real peace.
    1. Russia no longer has any instruments to intimidate the world apart from nuclear blackmail. These instruments will not work.
    1. We will consider such a possibility once we receive reliable information about a massive launch of air and space attack weapons and their crossing our state border.
    2. It's important to predict how the situation will develop and accordingly adapt the clauses of the document on strategic planning to current realities.
    3. I mean aeroplanes of strategic and tactical aviation, cruise missiles, drones, hypersonic and other aircraft.
    4. We see the modern military and political situation is dynamically changing and we must take this into consideration. Including the emergence of new sources of military threats and risks for Russia and our allies.
    5. It seems to me that an element of uncertainty will be preserved so as to increase the level of flexibility. But … since using nuclear weapons in case of attacks similar to the one in Kursk will be accompanied by significant negative side effects, this can be hardly justified from a military point of view.
    1. Putin likely intends for the hyper-specificity of his nuclear threats to breathe new life into the Kremlin's tired nuclear sabre-rattling information operation and generate a new wave of panic among Western policymakers during a particularly critical moment in Western policy discussions about Ukraine's ability to use Western-provided weapons.
    1. Generally speaking, this means that Russia under the new doctrine can now use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Ukraine's aggression in Kursk region is there. There is support of nuclear U.S., Britain and France. So it is already possible to hit Kyiv with nuclear weapons.
    1. Overall, it is a message that is designed to kind of warn the West, in this case, that the kind of assistance that is being discussed right now could be, could be problematic.
    1. Regardless of whether you think this is a bluff or not, it's never good when a major nuclear power loosens the conditions for nuclear use in its declaratory policy.

Russian Nuclear Capabilities

  1. Vladimir Putin expresses hope of no need to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine
  2. Russian nuclear threat and AI emergence push Doomsday Clock closer to midnight
  3. Putin Updates Russia's Nuclear Deterrence Doctrine in Response to US Arms Decision for Ukraine

sources

  1. 1.Al Jazeera
  2. 2.ABC News (Australia)
  3. 3.The Times of India
  4. 4.The New York Times
  5. 5.The Times
  6. 6.The Guardian
  7. 7.France 24
  8. 8.Le Monde
  9. 9.The Japan Times
  10. 10.DW News
  11. 11.The Washington Post
  12. 12.BBC

perspectives

  1. 1.US Foreign Policy
  2. 2.Russian Foreign Policy
  3. 3.Russia-Ukraine War
  4. 4.US-Russia Relations
  5. 5.Intercontinental Ballistic Missile
  6. 6.Nuclear Weapons
  7. 7.Russian Politics
  8. 8.Ukrainian Politics

countries

  1. 1.Russian FederationRU
  2. 2.UkraineUA
  3. 3.United StatesUS
  4. 4.BelarusBY
  5. 5.United KingdomGB
  6. 6.ChinaCN
  7. 7.AustraliaAU
  8. 8.BrazilBR
  9. 9.FranceFR
  10. 10.Iran, Islamic Republic ofIR
  11. 11.Korea, Democratic People's Republic ofKP
  12. 12.SudanSD

organizations

  1. 1.Krem­lin
  2. 2.North Atlantic Treaty Organisation
  3. 3.UN Security Council
  4. 4.White House
  5. 5.UN General Assembly
  6. 6.Republican Party
  7. 7.Telegram
  8. 8.European Union
  9. 9.Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
  10. 10.International Atomic Energy Agency
  11. 11.Russian Nuclear Forces Project
  12. 12.Russian Security Council

persons

  1. 1.Vladimir PutinRU
  2. 2.Volodymyr ZelenskiyUA
  3. 3.Andrey YermakUA
  4. 4.Joe BidenUS
  5. 5.Ivan Nechepurenko
  6. 6.Donald TrumpUS
  7. 7.Anton Troianovski
  8. 8.Sergei RyabkovRU
  9. 9.Andrei KartapolovRU
  10. 10.Kamala HarrisUS
  11. 11.Maxim StarchakUS
  12. 12.Mike Segar

technicals

  1. 1.Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power Plant
  2. 2.Soviet Union
  3. 3.World War II
  4. 4.Baltic Sea
  5. 5.Abrams M1
  6. 6.Army Tactical Missile Systems
  7. 7.SCALP/Storm Shadow
  8. 8.Nobel Prize
  9. 9.Challenger II
  10. 10.High Mobility Artillery Rocket System
  11. 11.Marshall Plan
  12. 12.Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty